{"id":75459,"date":"2026-03-05T12:09:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T12:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/how-much-wildfire-prevention-is-too-much\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T12:09:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T12:09:00","slug":"how-much-wildfire-prevention-is-too-much","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/how-much-wildfire-prevention-is-too-much\/","title":{"rendered":"How much wildfire prevention is too much?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The race to prevent the worst wildfires has been an increasingly high-tech one. Companies are proposing AI fire detection systems<\/a> and drones that can stamp out early blazes<\/a>. And now, one Canadian startup says it\u2019s going after lightning.<\/p>\n

Lightning-sparked fires can be a big deal: The Canadian wildfires of 2023 generated nearly 500 million metric tons of carbon emissions, and lightning-started fires burned 93% of the area affected. Skyward Wildfire claims that it can stop wildfires before they even start by preventing lightning strikes.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a wild promise, and one that my colleague James Temple dug into for his most recent story<\/a>. (You should read the whole thing; there\u2019s a ton of fascinating history and quirky science.) As James points out in his story, there\u2019s plenty of uncertainty about just how well this would work and under what conditions. But I was left with another lingering question: If we can prevent lightning-sparked fires, should we?<\/p>\n

I can\u2019t help myself, so let\u2019s take just a moment to talk about how this lightning prevention method supposedly works. Basically, lightning is static discharge\u2014virtually the same thing as when you rub your socks on a carpet and then touch a doorknob, as James puts it.<\/p>\n

When you shuffle across a rug, the friction causes electrons to jump around, so ions build up and an electric field forms. In the case of lightning, it\u2019s snowflakes and tiny ice pellets called graupel rubbing together. They get separated by updrafts, building up a charge difference, and eventually cause an electrostatic discharge\u2014lightning.<\/p>\n

Starting in about the 1950s, researchers started to wonder if they might be able to prevent lightning strikes. Some came up with the idea of using metallic chaff, fiberglass strands coated with aluminum. (The military was already using the material to disrupt radar signals.) The idea is that the chaff can act as a conductor, reducing the buildup of static electricity that would otherwise result in a lightning strike.<\/p>\n

The theory is sound enough, but results to date have been mixed. Some research suggests you might need high concentrations of chaff to prevent lightning effectively. Some of the early studies that tested the technique were small. And there\u2019s not much information available from Skyward Wildfire about its efforts, as the company hasn\u2019t released data from field trials or published any peer-reviewed papers that we could find.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Even if this method really can work to stop lightning, should we use it?<\/p>\n

Lightning-caused fires could be a growing problem with climate change. Some research has shown that they have substantially increased<\/a> in the Arctic boreal region, where the planet is warming fastest.<\/p>\n

But fire isn\u2019t an inherently bad thing\u2014many ecosystems evolved to burn. Some of the worst wildfires we see today result from a combination of climate-fueled conditions with policies that have allowed fuel to build up so that when fires do start, they burn out of control.<\/p>\n

Some experts agree that techniques like Skyward\u2019s would need to be used judiciously. \u201cSo even if we have all of the technical skills to prevent lightning-ignited wildfires, there really still needs to be work on when\/where to prevent fires so we don\u2019t exacerbate the fuel accumulation problem,\u201d said Phillip Stepanian, a technical staff member at MIT Lincoln Laboratory\u2019s air traffic control and weather systems group, in an email to James.<\/p>\n

We also know that practices like prescribed burns can do a lot to reduce the risk of extreme fires\u2014if we allow them and pay for them.<\/p>\n

The company says it wouldn\u2019t aim to stop all lightning or all wildfires. \u201cWe do not intend to eliminate all wildfires and support prescribed and cultural burning, natural fire regimes, and proactive forest management,\u201d said Nicholas Harterre, who oversees government partnerships at Skyward, in an email to James. Rather, the company aims to reduce the likelihood of ignition on a limited number of extreme-risk days, Harterre said.<\/p>\n

Some early responses to this story say that technological fixes for fires are missing the point entirely. Many such solutions \u201cfundamentally misunderstand the problem,\u201d as Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources, put it in a comment about the story<\/a> on LinkedIn. That problem isn\u2019t the existence of fire, Swain continues, but its increasing intensity, and its intersection with society because of human-caused factors. \u201cPreventing ignitions doesn\u2019t actually address any of the causes of increasingly destructive wildfires,\u201d he adds.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s hard to imagine that exploring more firefighting tools is a bad idea. But to me it seems both essential and quite difficult to suss out which techniques are worth deploying, and how they could be used without putting us in even more potential danger.\u00a0<\/p>\n

This article is from The Spark, <\/em>MIT Technology Review\u2019s weekly climate newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Wednesday, <\/em>sign up here<\/em><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The race to prevent the worst wildfires has been an increasingly high-tech one. Companies are proposing AI fire detection systems and drones that can stamp out early blazes. And now, one Canadian startup says it\u2019s going after lightning. Lightning-sparked fires can be a big deal: The Canadian wildfires of 2023 generated nearly 500 million metric tons of carbon emissions, and lightning-started fires burned 93% of the area affected. Skyward Wildfire claims that it can stop wildfires before they even start by preventing lightning strikes. It\u2019s a wild promise, and one that my colleague James Temple dug into for his most recent story. (You should read the whole thing; there\u2019s a ton of fascinating history and quirky science.) As James points out in his story, there\u2019s plenty of uncertainty about just how well this would work and under what conditions. But I was left with another lingering question: If we can prevent lightning-sparked fires, should we? I can\u2019t help myself, so let\u2019s take just a moment to talk about how this lightning prevention method supposedly works. Basically, lightning is static discharge\u2014virtually the same thing as when you rub your socks on a carpet and then touch a doorknob, as James puts it. When you shuffle across a rug, the friction causes electrons to jump around, so ions build up and an electric field forms. In the case of lightning, it\u2019s snowflakes and tiny ice pellets called graupel rubbing together. They get separated by updrafts, building up a charge difference, and eventually cause an electrostatic discharge\u2014lightning. Starting in about the 1950s, researchers started to wonder if they might be able to prevent lightning strikes. Some came up with the idea of using metallic chaff, fiberglass strands coated with aluminum. (The military was already using the material to disrupt radar signals.) The idea is that the chaff can act as a conductor, reducing the buildup of static electricity that would otherwise result in a lightning strike. The theory is sound enough, but results to date have been mixed. Some research suggests you might need high concentrations of chaff to prevent lightning effectively. Some of the early studies that tested the technique were small. And there\u2019s not much information available from Skyward Wildfire about its efforts, as the company hasn\u2019t released data from field trials or published any peer-reviewed papers that we could find.\u00a0 Even if this method really can work to stop lightning, should we use it? Lightning-caused fires could be a growing problem with climate change. Some research has shown that they have substantially increased in the Arctic boreal region, where the planet is warming fastest. But fire isn\u2019t an inherently bad thing\u2014many ecosystems evolved to burn. Some of the worst wildfires we see today result from a combination of climate-fueled conditions with policies that have allowed fuel to build up so that when fires do start, they burn out of control. Some experts agree that techniques like Skyward\u2019s would need to be used judiciously. \u201cSo even if we have all of the technical skills to prevent lightning-ignited wildfires, there really still needs to be work on when\/where to prevent fires so we don\u2019t exacerbate the fuel accumulation problem,\u201d said Phillip Stepanian, a technical staff member at MIT Lincoln Laboratory\u2019s air traffic control and weather systems group, in an email to James. We also know that practices like prescribed burns can do a lot to reduce the risk of extreme fires\u2014if we allow them and pay for them. The company says it wouldn\u2019t aim to stop all lightning or all wildfires. \u201cWe do not intend to eliminate all wildfires and support prescribed and cultural burning, natural fire regimes, and proactive forest management,\u201d said Nicholas Harterre, who oversees government partnerships at Skyward, in an email to James. Rather, the company aims to reduce the likelihood of ignition on a limited number of extreme-risk days, Harterre said. Some early responses to this story say that technological fixes for fires are missing the point entirely. Many such solutions \u201cfundamentally misunderstand the problem,\u201d as Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources, put it in a comment about the story on LinkedIn. That problem isn\u2019t the existence of fire, Swain continues, but its increasing intensity, and its intersection with society because of human-caused factors. \u201cPreventing ignitions doesn\u2019t actually address any of the causes of increasingly destructive wildfires,\u201d he adds. It\u2019s hard to imagine that exploring more firefighting tools is a bad idea. But to me it seems both essential and quite difficult to suss out which techniques are worth deploying, and how they could be used without putting us in even more potential danger.\u00a0 This article is from The Spark, MIT Technology Review\u2019s weekly climate newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Wednesday, sign up here.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"pmpro_default_level":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_pvb_checkbox_block_on_post":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[52,5,7,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ai-club","category-committee","category-news","category-uncategorized","pmpro-has-access"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHow much wildfire prevention is too much? 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Companies are proposing AI fire detection systems and drones that can stamp out early blazes. And now, one Canadian startup says it\u2019s going after lightning. Lightning-sparked fires can be a big deal: The Canadian wildfires of 2023 generated nearly 500 million metric…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75459","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75459"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75459\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youzum.net\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}